Brexit could be very bad for China

 

The United Kingdom’s apparent decision to leave the European Union could be very bad news for China. The U.K. has been its biggest economic ally in the E.U.  Further, Chinese investments in the U.K.  itself may suffer. The British have long pushed within the E.U. for freer trade with China  while other members have feared being economically overwhelmed by cheap imports from China.

“The U.K. leadership always said they would be the guys pushing for China’s interests in the West and the European Union,” a Western diplomat in Beijing  not authorized to be quoted by name in foreign media told The Washington Post. “This is quite bad news for China.”

To read The Post story, please hit this link.

 

U.S. imposes personal financial punishment on Kim Jong Un

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In the North Korean capital, Pyongyang.

It might surprise many readers to learn that the U.S. has put, for the first time, sanctions on North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un for his regime’s brutality toward his own people. Ten other high officials were also put on the financial-punishment list.

“Under Kim Jong Un, North Korea continues to inflict intolerable cruelty and hardship on millions of its own people, including extrajudicial killings, forced labor, and torture,”  the U.S. Treasury Department’s top sanctions official, Adam Szubin, told The Wall Street Journal. The sanctions, he said, “highlight the U.S. government’s condemnation of this regime’s abuses and our determination to see them stopped.”

The paper reported that the penalties “freeze any assets the designated officials hold in dollars. They also bar Americans from doing business with them.”

“I think we have some evidence that more and more people in North Korea, including within the ruling regime, are conscious that the political situation on the Korean Peninsula may change at some point in their lifetimes,” a senior U.S. official involved in the sanctions told the paper.  “It sends a message to people within the North Korean regime, particularly at those lower- to mid-levels, that if you become involved in abuses like running concentration camps or hunting down defectors, we will know who you are and you will end up on a blacklist that leaves you at a significant disadvantage.”

To read The Wall Street Journal story, please hit this link.

Expert talks about U.S.-Chinese cyber issues

 

Here’s a Wall Street Journal interview with  cyberspace expert Tim Maurer on the future of Chinese-U.S. cybersecurity relations and Beijing’s ambitions for managing the Internet.

He says data-stealing is his greatest fear for the Internet:

“The vast majority of hacking incidents so far have been relatively unsophisticated stealing of data, which is the low-hanging fruit. In most instances, that’s because defenses are so bad — including at the government level. But now you’re starting to see increasingly sophisticated malware, and there’s a concern about hackers not just stealing data, but altering it.”

To read The Wall Street Journal article, please hit this link.

The Baltic region’s tense-making geography

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In Kaliningrad.

Here’s a look at how the geography and tangled history of the Baltic region make everyone nervous as a more aggressive  Russia probes NATO defenses in the region.

Kaliningrad, a key Russian naval hub and leftover from World War II,  is at the epicenter of tensions.

To read a Washington Post article on this, please hit this link.

 

Japan-China tensions mount in East China Sea

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China has strongly criticized Japan over a scramble of military aircraft from the two countries  amid a dispute over islands in the East China Sea.

Japan is in an old dispute with China over ownership of a group of islands  northeast of Taiwan, known as the Senkakus in Japan and the Diaoyus  in China.

The Chinese Defense Ministry said that two Japanese fighter jets took “provocative actions” at a high speed near a pair of Chinese fighter jets patrolling  the sea  on June 17.

The Japanese planes used radar to “light up” the Chinese aircraft, the Chinese statement added. Japan has acknowledged that there was a scramble but has denied that  there was any radar lock.

“The Japanese plane’s provocative actions caused an accident in the air, endangering the safety of personnel on both sides, and destroying the peace and stability in the region,” China’s Defense Ministry said.

Japan has accused China of escalating military activity in the East China Sea, saying that Japanese emergency scrambles to counter Chinese jets have almost doubled over the past three months.

Reuters reports that Japan “is worried that China is escalating its activity in the East China Sea in response to Tokyo’s pledge to support countries in Southeast Asia, including the Philippines and Vietnam, that oppose China’s territorial claims in the South China Sea.”

To read the Reuters article on this, please hit this link

Leaders of 4 E.U. nations warn they will push back against more integration

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In the wake of the British vote to leave the European Union, Poland, the Czech Republic,  Hungary  and Slovakia are  prepared to push back  against the efforts of Germany for more integration of EU. member states.

The push-backers are worried about being marginalized as Germany, no longer having to share space in the E.U. with Britain, a major economic power,  might gain even more authority in the multinational organization. Britain has been a strong friend and ally of the four nations as they try to get the best deals for themselves within the E.U. Further, they, like the British, strongly support curbs on immigration into the E.U. in particular and into their nations in particular.

Note, of course, that there’s an outside chance that the U.K. won’t leave the E.U. after all.

“The genuine concerns of our citizens need to be better reflected,” the group’s four prime ministers said in a joint statement  last week, in which they called for  the E.U.’s executive power to be restrained. “Instead of endless theoretical debates on ‘more Europe’ or ‘less Europe’, we need to focus on ‘better Europe’,” they wrote.

To read The Guardian article on this, please hit this link.

China puts on military show in advance of ruling on the South China Sea

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The exercises, inside a 100,000-square-kilometer zone around the disputed Paracel Islands, come ahead of a ruling expected next week by the Permanent Court of Arbitration in the Hague over a long-standing territorial dispute between the Philippines and China.

The court will  rule on whether the Philippines  has the right to exploit waters  also claimed by China.

A ruling  could cast into doubt China’s vast claims in the region, through which about 30 percent of world trade goes through. But Beijing has refused to recognize the court’s authority.

To read The Guardian’s story on this, please hit this link.

 

BGF’s John Savage cited for cybersecurity work for G7

BGF’s John Savage cited for cybersecurity work for G7

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Needless to say, the colleagues of Prof. John Savage at the Boston Global Forum  (BGF) were very pleased to read the announcement below from Brown University, which we have slightly edited for clarity. John Savage is a  BGF member and  the An Wang Professor of Computer Science at Brown.

The press release from Brown:

“Congressional Quarterly Roll Call recently interviewed Professor John Savage of Brown University‘s Department of Computer Science (Brown CS) to document a unique moment in history. ‘The May 26-27 meeting of the Group of Seven in Ise-Shima, Japan,’ writes Paul Merrion, ‘produced the G7’s first-ever stand-alone agreement on cybersecurity, data protection and Internet governance.’

“To give a bit of history, the Boston Global Forum (BGF), chaired by former {Massachusetts Gov.}  Michael Dukakis, was founded to bring together thought leaders and experts from around the globe to participate in open public forums to discuss and illuminate the most critical issues affecting the world at large. In February, Nguyen Anh Tuan,  the BGF’s CEO and a co-founder of the nonprofit think tank, asked John to address  the BGF and prepare an agenda for the G7 Summit, working with other individuals affiliated with  the BGF to develop his presentation into a formal proposal.

“The G7 agreement (‘The G7 Ise-Shima Leaders’ Declaration’), which draws on the work of Savage and his colleagues, makes the landmark statement that cyberspace is under the rule of national law, and advocates for responsible state behavior during peacetime and the development of confidence-building measures to increase security. ‘It’s very significant,’ John says. ‘It’s progress, it’s recognition that nations need to help one another.”’

For more information, please his this link.

 

Putin warns Finland not to join NATO

 

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Russian President Vladimir Putin  warned on July 1 that Russia might move its troops closer to the Finnish-Russian border if Finland joins NATO. Finland, Poland and the Baltic Republics have been subjected to Russian air force and naval incursions and cyberattacks by the increasingly aggressive Putin administration.

Finnish armed forces “would become part of NATO’s military infrastructure, which overnight would be at the borders of the Russian Federation,” Mr. Putin said after meeting with Finnish President Sauli Niinisto.

“Do you think we will keep it as it is: our troops at 1,500 (kilometers, 900 miles) away?”

Mr. Putin was making his first visit to Finland since Russian seized Crimea from Ukraine and attacked the eastern part of that country.

The technically neutral but basically pro-NATO Finland and Sweden are increasing their co-operation with NATO in light of Russian threats..

To read the full Reuters story, please hit this link.