- Polling snapshot: Opinion polls cited in The Statesman say Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party is on track to win a standalone majority in the Feb. 8, 2026 lower house election—an outcome that would give Sanae Takaichi a clearer mandate and consolidate her hold on power.
- Why this election is closely watched: The campaign is being scrutinized because the LDP is running without the backing of long-time coalition partner Komeito (after 26 years of governing together) and without formal coordination with its current junior partner, the Japan Innovation Party.
- Takaichi’s Abe lineage: The article notes that Takaichi served in multiple cabinet posts under former premiers Shinzo Abe and Fumio Kishida—a reminder that her leadership style and strategic instincts are often read through the lens of Abe-era governance.
- The strategic gamble: Analysts cited in the piece argue that dissolving the lower house and calling an early election—effectively putting her leadership on the line—reflects internal pressures and a desire to strengthen authority through a fresh popular mandate.
Please see full here: https://www.thestatesman.com/world/opinion-polls-suggest-japans-ruling-ldp-may-retain-power-1503548793.html/amp
